Hirschi T. Breiman L. Criminal Justice and Behavior 41 12 : —
However, doing so is not necessarily as straightforward as it seems because different theories emphasise different factors. Zhang H. Predicted no recidivism Predicted recidivism No recidivism Recidivism This is because Hoge and Andrews believe that professionals should retain the final say in the management of their cases.
Proeve MJWolf G. Approaching the issue from a slightly different vantage point, social learning theorists focus on why most people do not come into contact with the justice system. The current predictive model drew very heavily on the predictor values within the YLS tool, and it takes experience to accurately complete this tool.
Ecology 88 11 : — Recent history Saved searches. There will always be errors since statistical models are only able to provide information on probabilities and not certainties. Hence, probation officers continue to play arguably the most crucial aspect in the risk assessment process.
In other words, the two main points of departure between the present analytical method and traditional method are the analysis of predictor values at the discrete level as opposed to the aggregate level as well as that the forecast is generated by statistical machinery.
The use of actuarial methods is very common in industries such as finance and insurance. Go to:. There will always be errors since statistical models are only able to provide information on probabilities and not certainties.